NYSE:TSE) shareholders should be happy to see the share price up 16% in the last quarter. But over the last three years we’ve seen a quite serious decline. Regrettably, the share price slid 62% in that period. So it’s good to see it climbing back up. Perhaps the company has turned over a new leaf.” data-reactid=”28″>Trinseo S.A. (NYSE:TSE) shareholders should be happy to see the share price up 16% in the last quarter. But over the last three years we’ve seen a quite serious decline. Regrettably, the share price slid 62% in that period. So it’s good to see it climbing back up. Perhaps the company has turned over a new leaf.
View our latest analysis for Trinseo ” data-reactid=”29″> View our latest analysis for Trinseo
Trinseo isn’t currently profitable, so most analysts would look to revenue growth to get an idea of how fast the underlying business is growing. When a company doesn’t make profits, we’d generally expect to see good revenue growth. Some companies are willing to postpone profitability to grow revenue faster, but in that case one does expect good top-line growth.
Over the last three years, Trinseo’s revenue dropped 7.1% per year. That is not a good result. The share price decline of 17% compound, over three years, is understandable given the company doesn’t have profits to boast of, and revenue is moving in the wrong direction. Having said that, if growth is coming in the future, now may be the low ebb for the company. We’d be pretty wary of this one until it makes a profit, because we don’t specialize in finding turnaround situations.
The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).
report showing consensus forecasts” data-reactid=”49″>We like that insiders have been buying shares in the last twelve months. Having said that, most people consider earnings and revenue growth trends to be a more meaningful guide to the business. So we recommend checking out this free report showing consensus forecasts
What About Dividends?
It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. In the case of Trinseo, it has a TSR of -57% for the last 3 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there’s no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
A Different Perspective
3 warning signs we’ve spotted with Trinseo (including 2 which is make us uncomfortable) .” data-reactid=”53″>While the broader market gained around 16% in the last year, Trinseo shareholders lost 36% (even including dividends). Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Longer term investors wouldn’t be so upset, since they would have made 3.0%, each year, over five years. If the fundamental data continues to indicate long term sustainable growth, the current sell-off could be an opportunity worth considering. It’s always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Trinseo better, we need to consider many other factors. To that end, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we’ve spotted with Trinseo (including 2 which is make us uncomfortable) .
list of growing companies with insider buying.” data-reactid=”54″>Trinseo is not the only stock insiders are buying. So take a peek at this free list of growing companies with insider buying.
Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email [email protected].” data-reactid=”60″>This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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