What You Need To Know About The Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd. (TSE:ASM) Analyst Downgrade Today
One thing we could say about the analysts on Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd. (TSE:ASM) – they aren’t optimistic, having just made a major negative revision to their near-term (statutory) forecasts for the organization. There was a fairly draconian cut to their revenue estimates, perhaps an implicit admission that previous forecasts were much too optimistic. Investors however, have been notably more optimistic about Avino Silver & Gold Mines recently, with the stock price up a worthy 10% to CA$1.38 in the past week. With such a sharp increase, it seems brokers may have seen something that is not yet being priced in by the wider market.
Following the latest downgrade, the current consensus, from the four analysts covering Avino Silver & Gold Mines, is for revenues of US$22m in 2020, which would reflect a substantial 26% reduction in Avino Silver & Gold Mines’ sales over the past 12 months. Previously, the analysts had been modelling revenues of US$31m and earnings per share (EPS) of US$0.03 in 2020. Indeed, we can see that the analysts are a lot more bearish about Avino Silver & Gold Mines’ prospects, administering a pretty serious reduction to revenue estimates and slashing their EPS estimates to boot.
Check out our latest analysis for Avino Silver & Gold Mines
One way to get more context on these forecasts is to look at how they compare to both past performance, and how other companies in the same industry are performing. These estimates imply that sales are expected to slow, with a forecast revenue decline of 26%, a significant reduction from annual growth of 12% over the last five years. Compare this with our data, which suggests that other companies in the same industry are, in aggregate, expected to see their revenue grow 5.5% next year. It’s pretty clear that Avino Silver & Gold Mines’ revenues are expected to perform substantially worse than the wider industry.
The Bottom Line
The most important thing to take away is that analysts cut their earnings per share estimates, expecting a clear decline in business conditions. Unfortunately analysts also downgraded their revenue estimates, and industry data suggests that Avino Silver & Gold Mines’ revenues are expected to grow slower than the wider market. Given the stark change in sentiment, we’d understand if investors became more cautious on Avino Silver & Gold Mines after today.
Still, the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year’s earnings. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Avino Silver & Gold Mines going out to 2021, and you can see them free on our platform here.
Of course, seeing company management invest large sums of money in a stock can be just as useful as knowing whether analysts are downgrading their estimates. So you may also wish to search this free list of stocks that insiders are buying.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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