U.S. stock index futures were flat during overnight trading on Monday after the Dow Jones Industrial Average closed at a record high.
Futures contracts tied to the Dow declined 4 points. S&P 500 futures were 0.05% higher, while Nasdaq 100 futures added 0.08%.
During regular trading, the Dow erased a 160-point loss to close 98 points higher. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq finished in the red, however, dipping 0.09% and 0.6%, respectively. The moves came amid the continued fallout after a hedge fund was forced to liquidate its position in several media stocks.
ViacomCBS and Discovery both slid on Monday after registering heavy losses last week prompted by Archegos Capital Management selling large blocks of stock late last week, as reported by CNBC and other outlets.
Bank stocks also declined on Monday, with Credit Suisse and Nomura posting heavy losses after warning of “significant” hits to first-quarter results following the hedge fund’s selling.
Still, despite the recent volatility, the Dow and S&P 500 are firmly higher for the month, gaining 7.2% and 4.2%, respectively.
“The significant tailwinds propelling equities higher and the forces that have driven equities into, during, and now out of the pandemic remain,” analysts at Evercore ISI wrote in a note to clients.
“Investors seem to understand that faster growth, rising earnings growth expectations, still historically low corporate borrowing costs, and pent up consumer demand will fuel further market gains,” the firm added.
Evercore envisions the pace of gains slowing, however, with equities already pricing in a reacceleration of growth.
Small cap stocks have been a beneficiary of the reopening trade in recent months as investors rotated into some of the hardest hit areas of the market. The Russell 2000 has gained 43% over the last six months, more than doubling the return of the Dow and S&P.
Jim Lacamp, senior vice president at Morgan Stanley Wealth Management, believes this trade may now have run its course.
“These plays that have really ramped up from the lows — especially from the September lows — like the small caps and the lower-quality stocks are going to take a backstage,” he said Monday on CNBC’s “Closing Bell.”
“The markets are already moving fast mentally from the early stage recovery plays into the mid stage recovery plays, and it might mean the averages have trouble continuing to hit new highs,” he added.
Traders are bracing for heightened volatility during this holiday-shortened week with quarter-end rebalancing among pension funds and other big investors. The recent swift advance in bond yields could set up money managers for big adjustments in their portfolios.
