Honeywell Earnings Were Great. Here’s Why the Stock Is Down.
Industrial giant Honeywell International reported another solid quarter Friday morning, beating Wall Street estimates and the company’s own guidance.
Strong results would be expected to trigger a stock price jump, but Honeywell shares are down in premarket trading. The reasons have to do with analyst and investors’ expectations.
Honeywell (ticker: HON) reported $1.92 a share from $8.5 billion in sales for the first quarter. Wall Street was looking for $1.80 in per-share earnings from $8.1 billion in sales. The company also raised its full-year sales and earnings guidance. Honeywell expects total sales in 2021 to rise about 4%, up from prior guidance of about 2.5%. The midpoint of per-share earnings guidance is now $7.88, up from $7.80.
It’s a solid earnings print, especially after a brutal 2020. Honeywell stock, however, fell about 1.5% in recent premarket trading. S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average futures are up, by about 0.2% and 0.3%, respectively.
The issue for the stock is Honeywell always beats earnings estimates. Beating estimates is never truly a surprise for this company. Over the past 10 years, the company has missed estimates twice, both times by less than a penny.
Wall Street analysts know that beats are coming too. Analyst are already modeling about 5% sales growth for 2021, more than the 4% Honeywell is predicting. What’s more, the Street is projecting $7.95 in per-share earnings, seven cents more than current guidance.
Honeywell stock was up about 7% year to date coming into Friday trading, and is off 1% from its 52-week high set on April 16. So a dip after a positive earnings surprise isn’t actually all that surprising.
Drilling down into Honeywell’s segment results, aerospace sales dropped 22% year over year. The segment’s sales were down 18% in the fourth quarter of 2020. Things are still tough in that end market.
Sales in safety and productivity markets, however, are humming, up about 49% year over year. That segment sells personal protective equipment, such as N95 masks. Commercial building-related sales grew 2% in the first quarter, returning to growth after they dropped 9% year over year in the fourth quarter. Finally, sales in the company’s materials segment dropped 2% year over year.
Overall, it’s clear things are getting better. The last piece of the puzzle for Honeywell business to perform even better will be a broader aerospace recovery. Management hosts a conference call at 8:30 a.m. ET to discuss results. Investors and analysts will be eager to hear about aerospace trends, as well as how the rest of the global economy is doing.
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