(Bloomberg) — AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc. dizzied investors Thursday by losing 40% of its market value, then regaining more than half of it — and pocketing more than $587 million in fresh cash by exploiting the frenzy.
The stock’s wild rally of 2021 initially collapsed on Thursday when the company disclosed plans sell more shares and use the money to cut its heavy debts. AMC went ahead with the sale anyway, ultimately collecting $587 million by midday, and any concern among investors that their holdings would be watered down faded after AMC said it completed the program.
After briefly erasing all of its losses, the shares closed 18% lower at $51.34 at 4 p.m. in New York.
It’s just another remarkable turn of events for AMC, which was staring at potential bankruptcy only a few months ago in the face of the pandemic and brutal competition from streaming services. Amid the mania for meme stocks, shareholders have brushed aside doubts about the wisdom of bidding up a company by 3,000% when its survival was so recently in doubt, and they reserved extra contempt for Wall Street professionals.
“As crazy as today’s action might seem, it’s a lot more normal than the action the stock has seen over the previous seven trading days,” said Matt Maley, chief strategist at Miller Tabak + Co. After all, he said, it’s not unusual to see a stock back off after such an outsized rally. “Nothing that has taken place over the past two weeks should be considered normal, until today,” Maley said.
Read more: AMC, Express Mark Golden Age for Retail-Focused Stock Sales
Analysts such as Chad Beynon at Macquarie aren’t backing off from predictions of a bigger plunge to come.
“Based on what we’ve seen with other retail stocks and given the paper profits from these retail investors, we would expect for shares to fade,” Beynon said. “Fundamentally, we still believe that AMC is worth $6.”
Credit investors, by contrast, pushed bond prices higher because even at the newly depressed price, the share sale was making a sizable dent in AMC’s crushing pile of debt, which stands at about $5 billion.
“It would be irresponsible for the board and management to not do a raise to secure the balance sheet at these levels,” said Greg Taylor, chief investment officer at Purpose Investments. CreditSights analysts Matt Zloto and Hunter Martin wrote that a successful offering “would be a massive first step in deleveraging the AMC capital structure.”
Thursday’s filing for the equity sale came just days after AMC collected $230.5 million by selling stock to Mudrick Capital Management. Those shares were then flipped and sold for a profit as the New York-based investment firm told clients AMC was overvalued.
Price Warning
The company warned investors flat out that they could see their stakes diluted and perhaps suffer heavy losses after the new offering, which was designed to be sold in the open market where retail traders thrive. Stocks sold in traditional offerings are purchased mostly by institutional investors.
“I would have told them to cash out the last time this happened,” said Barry Schwartz , chief investment officer at Baskin Financial Services. “In the dot-com boom it continued until everyone lost all their money and took the whole stock market down with it.”
The frenzied rally has pushed shares in the money-losing company to improbable levels, giving the business a market capitalization this week that was bigger than half of the listings in the S&P 500 Index. “AMC to the Moon” posters have popped up at street corners and pool parties in the U.S. amid the reality-defying surge for AMC and other meme stocks.
But signs of fatigue emerged on Thursday among AMC’s army of retail investors amid temptation to book some of the outsized profits, and the share sale touched a raw nerve that had triggered a stockholder rebellion earlier this year. AMC had sought to authorize 500 million new shares, but withdrew the plan in April amid objections from shareholders worried about getting diluted.
Still, the company said at the time it was likely to revisit the idea “at some point in the future.” Back then, the stock was selling for less than $12. At today’s prices, a similar offering could wipe out the company’s entire debt load of about $5 billion several times over, and raise billions more to fund AMC’s turnaround.
AMC’s bonds were among the top gainers in the U.S. high-yield market on Thursday, setting fresh highs. Its second-lien notes due 2026 rose 3.25 cents on the dollar, vaulting them over face value at 100.75 cents, according to Trace trading data.
The company “had an unsustainable debt level and is chipping away by issuing equity,” said Michael Pachter of Wedbush Securities in an email. “I think that’s smart to ensure that they remain healthy so they can thrive as things return to normal.”
(Updates with stock chart after the fourth paragraph)
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