Tesla Inc.’s quarterly results will be a golden opportunity for Wall Street to get the lowdown on the Silicon Valley electric-car maker’s future vehicles, factories under construction, and lingering effects from chip and parts shortages and rising commodity prices.
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Notably absent will be Jerome Guillen, the long-time Tesla executive who left in early June. Guillen, who spent more than a decade at the company, led Tesla’s efforts to get the Tesla Semi, the company’s commercial electric truck, off the factory floor.
Tesla said in April that sales of the Tesla Semi were on track to begin this year, and investors will want to know if that’s still on the table given Guillen’s departure, which merited an after-the-fact, two-sentence notice.
The company plans to build the Semi and the Cybertruck pickup at its newest plant being built in the Austin, Texas, area. Investors will wait for updates on these timelines as well as building progress for Texas plant and the one being built in Germany.
“Tesla shares have significantly underperformed the major OEMs such as (Ford Motor Co. F,
Here’s what else to expect:
Earnings: The consensus estimate from 39 analysts polled by FactSet calls for Tesla to report adjusted earnings of 93 cents a share, which would compare with adjusted earnings of 44 cents a share in the year-ago period. GAAP earnings are seen at 53 cents a share.
Estimize, a crowdsourcing platform that gathers estimates from Wall Street analysts, as well as buy-side analysts, fund managers, company executives, academics and others, is expecting an adjusted profit of $1.02 a share.
Revenue: The analysts surveyed by FactSet expect sales of $11.47 billion for Tesla, up from $5.18 billion a year ago. Estimize sees revenue of $11.68 billion for the company.
Stock movement: Tesla shares have underperformed the broader market, down around 8% versus gains of more than 14% for the S&P 500 index. SPX,
Tesla’s stock performance this year also compares with gains of 34% and 57% for Ford and GM shares.
What else to expect: Tesla angered some customers recently when it announced a change in the way it goes about some of its autonomous-driving products, calling for subscription plans rather than upfront fees for its Full Self Driving package, which is currently being tested. The subscription prices were higher than expected, Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas said.
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Tesla has weathered the chips and parts shortages well, getting praise for it has handled the shortages so far.
Tesla earlier this month reported second-quarter sales and production numbers that heartened investors. Tesla has shied away from specific sales and production guidance, but investors will be keen on parsing out any indication that sales remain healthy.
Hand in hand with that is Tesla’s business in China, where demand concerns have mounted amid a recent recall, consumer criticism, and a growing number of domestic EVs as competition with Teslas.
Analysts at Goldman Sachs recently zeroed in on downloads of the Tesla app in China as an indicator of demand.
That data suggests “overall demand remains solid in China and is up meaningfully (year-on-year,)” the analysts, led by Mark Delaney, said in the recent note.
Tesla has used its Shanghai factory for exports, not just to supply the Chinese domestic market, which could help explain an 11% quarter-on-quarter drop in second-quarter sales in China, the Goldman Sachs analysts said.
“Tesla sold essentially every car it made in (the first half of 2021) globally … illustrating in our opinion that the company is supply not demand constrained.”
