Treasury yields ebb as investors digest Fed rate hike
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U.S. Treasury yields ebbed on Thursday morning, as investors digested the Federal Reserve’s decision to hike interest rates for the first time in more than three years.
The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note fell 4 basis points to 2.14%. The yield on the 30-year Treasury bond moved 4 basis points lower to 2.411%. Yields move inversely to prices and 1 basis point is equal to 0.01%.
Treasurys
The Fed approved on Wednesday a benchmark interest rate increase of a quarter of a percentage point, its first hike since 2018.
The policymaking Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) also penciled in six more hikes in 2022, as well as factored in a reduction in its $9 trillion balance sheet.
Fed Chairman Jerome Powell at his post-meeting news conference hinted that the balance sheet reduction could start in May, and said the process could be the equivalent of another rate hike this year.
FOMC members also increased their inflation expectations, forecasting that the personal consumption expenditures price index excluding food and energy will see 4.1% growth this year, compared with the 2.7% projection in December 2021.
Charles Hepworth, investment director at GAM Investments, said on Wednesday that while the Fed “may need to appear hawkish with now stubbornly high inflation, it’s obvious that had the committee acted sooner they wouldn’t have needed to act so aggressively now.”
“With a slowing economy and worsening financial conditions, it’s highly unlikely that their projected trajectory will be delivered on,” he added.
The 10-year Treasury yield spiked to 2.24%, its highest point since 2019, but then retreated.
Developments on Russia’s invasion of Ukraine also continue to be a focus of investors’ attention, with reports of progress on cease-fire negotiations on Wednesday. U.S. President Joe Biden approved additional weapons to be sent to Ukraine.
In terms of data releases due out on Thursday, the number of jobless claims filed last week is set to come out at 8:30 a.m. ET.
February’s building permits and housing starts data is also due out at 8:30 a.m. ET.
Auctions are due to be held on Thursday for $45 billion of 4-week bills and $35 billion of 8-week bills.