The Stock Market’s Drop Is Worse Than It Looks. Here’s Why.
The stock market is having a bad day—and it’s even worse than it looks.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.8%, while the Nasdaq Composite declined 0.7%, and the S&P 500 dropped 1.1%.
Those drops aren’t pleasant, but the pain is even worse under the surface. Just 50 stocks in the S&P 500 are higher on the day, a dismal reading on market breadth. In fact, on days when fewer than 100 stocks finished the day in the green, the S&P 500 has dropped an average of 2.2% and a median of 1.9%. That’s basically twice as much as the S&P 500 was down. When fewer than 50 stocks were up on the day, the S&P 500 averaged a 3.5% drop.
When the S&P 500 is having a “better” day than the typical stock in the market it’s usually a sign that big stocks are doing better than small, and that seems to be the case on Wednesday. The small-company Russell 2000 has dropped 1.8% today, while the Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF (RSP), which gives big and small stocks the same weighting in the fund, has fallen 1.4%. Tesla (TSLA), Alphabet (GOOGL), and Exxon Mobil (XOM)—with market caps above $450 billion—were among the stocks that finished higher on the day, while Carnival (CCL), Expedia (EXPE), and trucking company J.B. Hunt (JBHT)—with market caps less than $21 billion—were among the biggest losers.
it’s exactly the kind of rally you don’t want to see when the stock market is trying to find a bottom. And it’s the kind of day that’s a reminder that the stock market is still in a bear market, despite the recent rally. “Although the S&P 500 has so far escaped a traditional bear market based on the level of the index using closing prices, the weakness under the surface is clearly in bear market territory.”
Still.
Write to Ben Levisohn at [email protected]