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10-year Treasury yield falls to near one-month low as recession fears intensify

U.S. Treasury yields were mixed on Friday as investors continued to assess the risk of an economic downturn.

The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note was trading marginally lower at 2.972%, paring losses after falling to 2.941% earlier in the session — its lowest level since June 6. Meanwhile, the yield on the 30-year Treasury bond rose 3 basis points to 3.158%.

The 2-year Treasury rate, which is typically more sensitive to U.S. monetary policy changes, was down around 2 basis points at 2.912%. The 2-year note reversed some of its losses after falling to a one-week low of 2.895%. Yields move inversely to prices.

Treasurys

The S&P 500 on Thursday closed out its worst first half in decades. The broader market index dropped 20.6% for its largest first-half decline since 1970.

The steep first-half losses come at a time when market participants are grappling with soaring inflation and tighter monetary policy.

The core personal consumption expenditures price index, the Fed’s preferred inflation measure, rose 4.7% in May, the Commerce Department reported Thursday. That’s 0.2 percentage points less than the month before, but still around levels last seen in the 1980s. The index was expected to show a year-over-year increase of 4.8% for May, according to Dow Jones.

Stubbornly high inflation levels and the Federal Reserve’s efforts to tackle a surge in prices have resulted in escalating recession worries.

On the data front, a final reading of the S&P Global manufacturing purchasing managers’ index for June will be released at 9:45 a.m. ET.

Institute for Supply Management manufacturing data for June, construction spending for May and light vehicle sales for June will all be released at 10 a.m. ET.

— CNBC’s Fred Imbert and Tanya Macheel contributed to this report.

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