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Stocks, U.S. Futures Fall as Inflation Fears Mount: Markets Wrap

(Bloomberg) — Most Asian stocks and U.S. futures slid Monday as surging energy prices cemented worries about inflation and as Chinese growth slowed. Bond yields rose.

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MSCI Inc.’s gauge of Asia Pacific shares was on track for its first decline in four sessions as equities dropped in Japan, Hong Kong and China, where economy slowed in the third quarter. U.S. contracts dipped after American stocks advanced on Friday, with the S&P 500 chalking its best week since July as earnings buoyed sentiment.

Bond yields in New Zealand and Australia jumped after New Zealand’s inflation accelerated to the fastest pace in 10 years. Yields on Australia’s three-year bond surged as much as 18 basis points to the highest since January. Ten-year Treasury yields extended a climb back toward 1.6%, while the dollar edged higher.

Oil prices built on their eighth weekly gain with West Texas Intermediate crude rising above $83 a barrel to the highest since 2014. Brent approached $86 a barrel.

Investors continue to grapple with worries about inflation amid surging energy shortages that are prompting more production cuts and sending bond yields higher. At the same time, the economic recovery remains patchy while central bankers are inching closer to paring back stimulus. U.S. consumer sentiment fell unexpectedly in early October, but retail sales advanced.

“We are starting to see some cracks in the transitory narrative that we’ve been hearing for quite some time,” Meera Pandit, global market strategist at J.P. Morgan Asset Management, said on Bloomberg Radio. “Rates will continue to ground higher from where we are. But I don’t think from a Fed perspective, when you think about the short end of the curve, that they are going to move much earlier than 2023. They are going to be a little bit more patient than the market expects right now.”

Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey said the central bank will “have to act” to curb inflationary forces and warning higher energy costs mean price pressures will linger. Mohammed El-Erian, the chief economic adviser at Allianz SE and a Bloomberg columnist, said investors should prepare for increased market volatility if the Federal Reserve pulls back on stimulus measures set in motion by the Covid-19 pandemic.

In China, headwinds from a property slump to an energy crisis and subdued consumer spending weighed on growth. People’s Bank of China Governor Yi Gang said authorities can contain risks posed to the Chinese economy and financial system from the struggles of China Evergrande Group.

Elsewhere, Bitcoin rallied back above $62,000 as the first U.S. Bitcoin futures ETF may debut Monday.

For more market analysis, read our MLIV blog.

Events to watch this week:

  • Earnings roll in, including from AT&T Inc., Barclays Plc, Johnson & Johnson, Netflix Inc. and Tesla Inc.

  • Bank Indonesia rate decision and briefing, Tuesday

  • China’s NPC Standing Committee starts a meeting Tuesday that goes on through Oct. 23. A review of anti-monopoly regulations is on the agenda

  • U.S. housing starts, Tuesday

  • EIA crude oil inventory report, Wednesday

  • China property prices, loan prime rates, Wednesday

  • U.S. Conference Board leading index, U.S. existing home sales, jobless claims, Thursday

  • Fed Chair Jerome Powell takes part in policy panel discussion, Friday

Some of the main moves in markets:

Stocks

  • S&P 500 futures were little changed as of 12:31 p.m. in Tokyo. The S&P 500 rose 0.8%

  • Nasdaq 100 futures slid 0.2%. The Nasdaq 100 rose 0.6%

  • Topix index fell 0.3%

  • S&P/ASX 200 Index rose 0.2%

  • Kospi index rose 0.1%

  • Hang Seng Index fell 0.5%

  • Shanghai Composite Index fell 0.4%

  • Euro Stoxx 50 futures were little changed

Currencies

  • The Japanese yen was at 114.32 per dollar, down 0.1%

  • The offshore yuan was at 6.4381 per dollar

  • The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index rose 0.2%

  • The euro was at $1.1583

Bonds

Commodities

  • West Texas Intermediate crude rose 1.6% to $83.56 a barrel

  • Gold was at $1,768.15 an ounce

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