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Only 29 stocks hit all 4 of these key metrics so far this earnings season

What does it mean for a company to have a good earnings report?

It’s more than a headline saying it “beat” its earnings estimate. After all, a company’s quarterly earnings may come in higher than analysts expect, even if it posts a net loss.

A deeper look at sales growth, profit margins and how analysts react after the earnings report may be of more value to investors, especially at a time when the stock market is hypersensitive to any sign of a slowdown for a company’s business.

Below is a screen showing 29 U.S. companies that appear to be doing many things right, with improving sales, gross margins and operating margins.

An earnings-season screen of winners

The following screen is based on sales growth and profit-margin improvement, rather than net profit, because one-time events (such as Amazon.com Inc.’s AMZN $11.8 billion unrealized gain on its investment in Rivian automotive Inc. RIVN ) can have a dramatic temporary effect on the bottom line.

  • Through Feb. 4, 310 companies among the S&P 500 SPX had reported results for quarters ended Oct. 29 or later.
  • Among those 310 companies, 29 met the following criteria:
  • Quarterly sales were higher than the year-earlier quarter.
  • Gross and operating margins for the quarter were improved from a year earlier. These measures aren’t used for most financial-services companies, so most were excluded from the screen. For some of the other companies, FactSet cannot calculate gross or operating margins (or both) without the set of GAAP data available later, when the 10-Q reports come out (generally within 45 days of the end of the reported fiscal quarter).
  • Consensus sales estimates for calendar 2022 have increased at least 2% from where they were Dec. 31. We have used calendar years for a uniform set of estimates, even though many companies have fiscal years that don’t match the calendar.

A company’s gross margin is its revenue minus the cost of goods or services sold. It reflects a company’s pricing power and its direct production costs, including labor and materials. A company’s gross margin might narrow as it builds market share by increasing discounts to customers or if it attempts to avoid price increases. It is a good sign if the gross margin is expanding as sales increase.

A company’s operating margin goes further, subtracting more overhead and other expenses that aren’t directly related to the production of goods and services sold. It is, essentially, earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA) divided by sales.

Here are the 29 companies that have met the four criteria so far this earnings season. They are assessed in two tables, sorted in order of quarterly sales increases from a year earlier. The first table includes the screening data, and the second table is a summary of opinions among analysts polled by FactSet:

Company Ticker Increase in quarterly sales Gross margin Gross margin – year-earlier quarter Operating margin Operating margin – year-earlier quarter Increase in cons. sales estimate since Dec. 31
ConocoPhillips   COP 174.8% 34.11% -13.36% 41.90% 25.63% 10.0%
Delta Air Lines Inc.   DAL 138.4% 11.27% -36.35% 7.93% -31.39% 3.2%
Alaska Air Group Inc.   ALK 135.0% 15.01% -40.84% 7.11% -42.70% 4.3%
Valero Energy Corp.   VLO   116.2% 5.29% -1.26% 6.11% 0.84% 9.1%
Phillips 66   PSX   97.7% 4.17% 1.66% 4.12% 0.72% 13.9%
Nucor Corp.   NUE   97.0% 33.99% 13.67% 31.48% 14.48% 4.4%
Marathon Petroleum Corp. MPC   96.9% 6.42% -1.08% 6.87% -0.33% 29.0%
Hess Corp.   HES 85.0% 33.84% 3.31% 47.79% 38.88% 3.5%
Advanced Micro Devices Inc.   AMD   48.8% 50.27% 44.73% 27.89% 21.12% 11.2%
KLA Corp.   KLAC 42.4% 60.86% 58.71% 44.70% 39.95% 4.7%
Dow Inc. DOW   34.2% 17.18% 13.76% 17.14% 14.10% 4.3%
Catalent Inc.   CTLT   33.6% 33.28% 32.74% 23.25% 22.36% 2.0%
Old Dominion Freight Line Inc.   ODFL   31.4% 32.47% 29.98% 31.15% 30.22% 3.3%
Qualcomm Inc.   QCOM   30.0% 59.80% 57.63% 39.89% 35.09% 6.1%
Microchip Technology Inc.   MCHP 30.0% 53.35% 45.43% 46.39% 39.70% 2.4%
J.B. Hunt Transport Services Inc.   JBHT   27.7% 11.44% 10.18% 13.26% 12.94% 4.9%
Ralph Lauren Corp. Class A   RL 26.7% 62.82% 60.36% 18.95% 16.61% 3.4%
Xilinx Inc.   XLNX   25.8% 71.56% 67.73% 35.44% 27.43% 3.5%
United Rentals Inc.   URI 21.8% 38.47% 33.96% 46.04% 43.70% 2.5%
Packaging Corp. of America   PKG 19.2% 24.96% 19.44% 23.26% 17.66% 3.3%
D.R. Horton Inc.   DHI 18.9% 30.45% 26.98% 21.47% 17.74% 4.8%
Seagate Technology Holdings PLC   STX 18.8% 30.52% 26.27% 22.08% 16.85% 2.2%
Texas Instruments Inc.   TXN 18.5% 69.33% 63.76% 57.33% 50.44% 6.4%
W.W. Grainger Inc.   GWW 14.2% 37.30% 34.92% 13.84% 11.25% 2.2%
Charles Schwab Corp.   SCHW   13.2% 87.92% 86.94% 50.37% 43.00% 4.6%
Apple Inc.   AAPL   11.1% 43.76% 40.05% 35.65% 32.77% 3.0%
Crown Castle International Corp   CCI 10.8% 43.53% 38.51% 57.38% 52.65% 3.7%
Juniper Networks Inc.   JNPR 6.3% 59.27% 58.65% 17.12% 16.82% 3.1%
Cboe Global Markets Inc.   CBOE   2.6% 40.22% 31.58% 30.74% 24.18% 3.7%
Source: FactSet

You can click on the tickers for more about each company.

You should also read Tomi Kilgore’s detailed guide to the wealth of information available for free on the MarketWatch quote page.

The top of the list is dominated by companies grossly affected by the pandemic — oil producers and refiners as well as airlines. Semiconductor manufacturers, another category on the list, may be in a golden age for their products, given supply shortages and with demand for all sorts of circuit boards, graphics processors and computer chips increasing regardless of the pandemic.

Apple Inc. AAPL is one of the slower sales growers on the list, but investors were very impressed with its results, pushing its stock up 8% since the close before it reported on Jan. 27.

Read: Apple just reported its best performance of the past five years by three key measures

Leaving the list in the same order, here’s a summary of analysts’ opinions:

Company Ticker Share “buy” ratings Share neutral ratings Share “sell” ratings Closing price – Feb. 4 Cons. price target Implied 12-month upside potential
ConocoPhillips   COP   86% 14% 0% $91.87 $101.75 11%
Delta Air Lines Inc.   DAL   79% 21% 0% $39.85 $51.85 30%
Alaska Air Group Inc.   ALK   93% 7% 0% $53.49 $74.71 40%
Valero Energy Corp.   VLO 81% 14% 5% $86.70 $94.12 9%
Phillips 66   PSX   79% 21% 0% $88.84 $99.31 12%
Nucor Corp.   NUE 27% 66% 7% $111.26 $112.78 1%
Marathon Petroleum Corp.   MPC 79% 21% 0% $78.19 $85.41 9%
Hess Corp.   HES   63% 37% 0% $95.63 $110.58 16%
Advanced Micro Devices Inc.   AMD   59% 39% 2% $123.60 $155.90 26%
KLA Corp.   KLAC   67% 33% 0% $377.38 $457.62 21%
Dow Inc.   DOW   36% 56% 8% $60.60 $67.10 11%
Catalent Inc.   CTLT 93% 7% 0% $102.65 $148.00 44%
Old Dominion Freight Line Inc.   ODFL 20% 70% 10% $309.58 $344.88 11%
Qualcomm Inc.   QCOM   68% 32% 0% $179.47 $223.91 25%
Microchip Technology Inc.   MCHP   70% 30% 0% $73.18 $96.54 32%
J.B. Hunt Transport Services Inc.   JBHT   50% 42% 8% $189.60 $215.33 14%
Ralph Lauren Corp. Class A   RL 53% 43% 4% $118.63 $143.63 21%
Xilinx Inc.   XLNX   6% 94% 0% $209.02 $189.23 -9%
United Rentals Inc.   URI   55% 40% 5% $312.29 $417.07 34%
Packaging Corp. of America   PKG 31% 62% 8% $146.67 $149.11 2%
D.R. Horton Inc.   DHI 77% 23% 0% $84.02 $119.83 43%
Seagate Technology Holdings PLC   STX 41% 56% 4% $108.72 $112.95 4%
Texas Instruments Inc.   TXN   43% 44% 13% $171.42 $200.46 17%
W.W. Grainger Inc. GWW 28% 55% 17% $487.68 $537.54 10%
Charles Schwab Corp.   SCHW   65% 30% 5% $91.90 $104.86 14%
Apple Inc.   AAPL   77% 21% 2% $172.39 $190.26 10%
Crown Castle International Corp   CCI 52% 43% 5% $180.30 $199.83 11%
Juniper Networks Inc.   JNPR 35% 45% 20% $35.13 $35.12 0%
Cboe Global Markets Inc.   CBOE   53% 27% 20% $120.25 $137.67 14%
Source: FactSet

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